"La La Land" is the initial film in years to dominate Academy Award nominations with a record-tying 14 nods, but the query remains how several Oscars will the film take dwelling when the awards are handed out Sunday.
"1 of the major queries of the evening will be how many Oscars is it going to win?" Yahoo! Motion pictures senior editor Kevin Polowy told ABC News. "Could it break the record at 11?"
"La La Land" is a single of only three films, along with 1950's "All About Eve" and 1997's "Titanic," to earn 14 nominations. As for the most Academy Awards won by a single film, three films are tied with 11 Oscars each and every: "Titanic," 1959's "Ben-Hur" and 2003's "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King."
Irrespective of whether it breaks the record, Polowy predicts that "La La Land" will surely be the night's large winner, scooping up music and technical awards as well as some of the major categories.
One more positive bet Sunday evening will be some winners of colour in the acting categories.
"Immediately after two years of #OscarsSoWhite, you're going to see a a great deal distinct Oscars this year," he said. "This was a actually good year for films with folks of colour."
It's also achievable that for the initially time, there could be 3 black winners in the acting categories.
"It's going to be incredibly refreshing to see at least two of the 4 acting races are going to be black winners," Polowy mentioned, predicting that Mahershala Ali and Viola Davis will take dwelling statuettes. "I also consider Denzel Washington is going to pull an upset. We could see some history being produced."
The other factor we should see a lot of are political speeches.
"If men and women believed the Oscars were political ahead of, they haven't noticed anything yet," Polowy mentioned. "It will be surprising when there's a speech without the need of some mention of Trump or politics or what is happening in the U.S. or abroad."
With a quantity of films that deal with key social and political issues, and some nominees impacted by Trump administration policies, Polowy mentioned the political speeches will most likely occur "pretty organically."
Besides planet and social politics, Oscar politics are most likely to be at perform as properly when Sunday's winners are announced.
Take a look at Polowy's predictions for who will win the Oscar when the 89th Academy Awards are broadcast on ABC Sunday evening:
Very best actor
Here is a category where Oscar politics could play a part. Affleck was the early favourite for most of the award season, but Polowy thinks the "tide has turned" away from him.
"I've noticed a quiet create of backlash against Casey Affleck for the reason that of these charges [of sexual harassment] lodged against him," Polowy explained, referring to the 2010 lawsuits brought against Affleck by two women who worked with him on the film "I’m Nonetheless Right here."
Affleck, who denies the allegations, ended up settling the suits for an undisclosed amount the similar year, but the situation resurfaced final year during the awards season. "From what I've gathered a Efsanebahis lot of voters will have a difficult time voting for him," Polowy said.
For that purpose, Polowy offers the edge to Washington, who is beloved in Hollywood and gave 1 of the year's top rated acting performances in "Fences." He was also the surprise winner at the Screen Actors Guild Awards.
"That helped us gauge that Affleck was susceptible to losing the Oscar," Polowy stated.
PREDICTED WINNER: Denzel Washington
Ideal actress
Even with Stone going in as the preferred, Polowy mentioned there are at least 4 actresses in this category who stand a "halfway decent likelihood" of winning. The fifth, Negga, gave an remarkable efficiency in "Loving," but Polowy mentioned she was "currently on the bubble to commence with."
Meanwhile, Huppert, the Golden Globe winner, probably stands the finest possibility of upsetting Stone for the win. He cites other actors in foreign language films who have had surprise wins at the Oscars: Roberto Benigni, Marion Cotillard and Jean Dujardin.
Portman also stands an outdoors possibility for "Jackie," though she did win an Oscar just six years ago. Then once more, you can't count out Streep or "get in touch with her underrated," Polowy mentioned, referring to President Trump's description of her soon after she criticized him in the course of her Golden Globes keynote speech.
"Meryl Streep could possibly just get some votes due to the fact persons want to see her take down Trump again," he mentioned.
In the finish, though, he believes Stone will prevail. "She is the heart and soul of 'La La Land.' She leaves her comfort zone to sing and dance and offers an emotionally layered functionality," he said. "And she's really due. She really should have won for 'Birdman' a handful of years ago."
PREDICTED WINNER: Emma Stone
Finest actor in a supporting role
Polowy calls Shannon his private pick. "It was one particular of my preferred performances of the year, but the movie fell below the radar a bit," he stated of "Nocturnal Animals." "Michael Shannon steals the entire movie."
That said, it's Ali's year, Polowy stated. "He's not in 'Moonlight' for that extended, but he has this lasting presence over the film." He also left a lasting impression on academy voters when he won the SAG award and gave an emotional, introspective speech about playing an unconventional character and becoming a Muslim.
"That evening I consider he locked up the Oscars," Polowy stated.
PREDICTED WINNER: Mahershala Ali
Very best actress in a supporting function
Polowy calls this the easiest of the four acting categories to predict. Right after three Oscar nominations, Davis, who has been scooping up awards all season, will take residence her 1st Oscar.
"She owns the single greatest acting moment of the year," he stated.
PREDICTED WINNER: Viola Davis
Finest directing
In 25 of the final 30 years, the most effective director and most effective picture Oscars have been in tandem. In other words, the ideal director Oscar typically goes to the person who directs the greatest image Oscar winner. But in current years there has been a split, and Polowy predicts that will come about once again Sunday with the year's two most effective films, "La La Land" and "Moonlight."
While Chazelle did wonders bringing the musical back to the massive screen, Polowy believes Jenkins will win the Oscar for very best director for his "beautifully shot, wistful and tender" "Moonlight."
No matter whether it is Chazelle or Jenkins who wins, each could make history: Jenkins as the very first black individual to win the Oscar for most effective director and Chazelle as the youngest to win.
PREDICTED WINNER: Barry Jenkins
Ideal image
That leaves "La La Land" as the favorite for very best picture. "You have to assume with that lots of nominations, it is going to win best picture," Polowy stated. "It really is still regarded as the film of the year."
There's generally the possibility that "Moonlight" could win, or even that "Hidden Figures" would pull an upset. "If there is any film's stock that has raised the most because the nominations, it really is 'Hidden Figures.'"
PREDICTED WINNER: "La La Land"
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