Together! The president's majority According to projections from a poll released Tuesday, May 31, the presidential majority (Together!) would be first in the number of seats for June's legislative elections, but it is not certain that they will win an absolute majority at the National Assembly.
The electoral confederation Together! LREM, Modem and Horizons would be represented by the electoral confederation Together! 170 to 205 seats for the New Popular Ecological and Social Union. (Nupes) is an electoral alliance that includes LFI, EELV and the PS according to the Ifop-Fiducial barometer for LCI.
The absolute majority is the result of 289 of 577 future elected officials, who will be sitting on the Bourbon Palace's benches.
LR and its allies from the UDI would be in third place with 35 to 55 deputies. Then, elected representatives of RN (from 20-50) would follow. Reconquest, the ex-extreme right polemicist Eric Zemmour's party, could win anywhere from 1 to 4 seats at the future assembly.
A poll forecasts that 5-10 left-leaning deputies will be elected, i.e. Left-wing candidates who are not in agreement with the Nupes agreements. This survey places eight to fifteen elected officials in the miscellaneous category.
The presidential majority and Nupes have 27 and 25% respectively of the voting intentions, respectively. The RN is next with 21% of the voting intentions.
When asked about the likely winner of the legislative election on June 12th and 19, 41% believe the president majority will win. This is a 6 point drop from a poll done a fortnight back. 28% believe the Nupes will win, while 19% think it will be theRN (3).
Voting intentions are not a prediction of the outcome of a vote. These indicate the power balance and dynamics at the time of the survey. The survey was conducted online from May 25-28 using a self-administered questionnaire. It included a representative sample of 1,796 French citizens aged 18 or over who were registered on the electoral list. The margin of error lies between 1 and 2.2%.
