The winners in this week's trend barometer are the same as in the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, with the result that two coalition partners lose and one gains. The Union is also gaining.
In the weekly trend barometer from RTL and ntv, the CDU/CSU, Greens and the other parties have each gained one percentage point, while the SPD, FDP and AfD have each lost one point compared to the previous week. The Greens and SPD are now level and five points behind the Union parties.
If there were a federal election now, the parties could expect the following result: CDU/CSU 27 percent (2021 federal election: 24.1 percent), SPD 22 percent (25.7 percent), Greens 22 percent (14.8 percent), FDP 8 percent (11.5 percent), AfD 8 percent (10.3 percent), Left 4 percent (4.9 percent).
9 percent of voters (8.7 percent) would choose other parties. The proportion of non-voters and undecided remains at 23 percent, which roughly corresponds to the proportion of non-voters in the federal election (23.4 percent).
If they could elect the Federal Chancellor directly, 42 percent of all eligible voters would still vote for incumbent Olaf Scholz and 19 percent (1 percentage point) for CDU leader Friedrich Merz. Scholz has lost popularity since March. However, Merz could not benefit from this, his values have hardly changed since then.
82 percent of SPD supporters would currently choose Scholz, while only 50 percent of CDU/CSU supporters would choose Merz.
18 percent of all eligible voters ( 2 percentage points) trust the Greens, 13 percent (- 1 percentage point) the SPD, 11 percent of the CDU/CSU ( 4 percentage points) and 3 percent each of the FDP and the other parties. 52 percent do not trust any party to solve the problems in Germany.
The data was collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of RTL Germany from May 10 to 16, 2022. Database: 2502 respondents. Statistical error tolerance: /- 2.5 percentage points.
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