Dresden (dpa / sn) - According to a new forecast, the population of Dresden is expected to increase by around 2.2 percent by 2040. As the city announced on Thursday, around 578,800 people are expected to live in the Saxon state capital by mid-2040. On June 30, 2022, according to the Dresden population register, the population was 566,600 people. Compared to the last forecast from 2020, Dresden will grow much more slowly, it said. In December 2020, the city was still expecting growth of 3.1 percent by 2035 from 561,300 to 578,600 inhabitants.
According to the latest forecast, the number of 85-year-olds and older will increase the most at 36.6 percent by 2040 (7,500 people). The group of young adults between the ages of 18 and 29 is expected to grow by 23 percent (18,900 people). The number of children is declining: In the age group of 6 to 14 year olds, a decrease of 18.6 percent (-9300 people) is expected, among the 3 to 5 year olds a decrease of 15.2 percent (- 2600 people). The average age is expected to increase from 43.3 to 44.4 years in 2040.
In the forecast, a high influx of asylum seekers and refugees, including those from Ukraine, is assumed for the first forecast year 2022/23. For the following years it is assumed that the influx of asylum seekers and refugees will decrease again. In the first Corona year 2020, the population of Dresden had fallen slightly for the first time in twenty years. On December 31, 2020, 561 942 people lived in the city. That was 1,069 fewer people than in the previous year, the city said.
