In the last few meters of the year it stormed again on the mountains and also on the North Sea. Sometimes even hurricane gusts are possible: "The most intense are in the Upper Harz Mountains. But it also gets rough in the lowlands," reveals ntv meteorologist Björn Alexander - and warm. Only at the sea does it remain comparatively cool. Otherwise there is a risk of record values in large parts of Germany. Even the mountains are snow-free away from snow-covered slopes.
ntv.de: In the last few meters of the weather year 2022, winter will probably have no chance. What are the prospects until the turn of the year?
Björn Alexander: The motto for the next few days remains unchanged: storms instead of snow and super mild air at record levels instead of frost.
Where does it come from?
Responsible for this is the ongoing low-pressure highway, on which the very active Atlantic sends us repeated cloud vortices in a tight westerly current. At the moment it's still low "Kerstin" before "Liddy" follows. At the same time, the pressure differences to the highs in southern Europe are large, resulting in a brisk to turbulent wind situation. Also, record-breaking warm air is coming in on the front of the southwest to south lows.
With what consequences?
The balcony and terrace are extremely poor options for chilling drinks for New Year's Eve and it could be difficult for the fireworks that are freely available again this year. Especially since rain is always added to the risk of storms.
What are the details?
Friday will be dry at first and even partly sunny. Only in the course of the day will new clouds spread in the west, sometimes with heavy rain. At the same time, the wind freshened up again.
Where is it blowing the hardest?
On the mountains and on the North Sea with storm and sometimes even hurricane gusts. The most intensive ones are in the Upper Harz. But even in the lowlands it gets rough. The temperatures initially change only slightly at 7 to 15 degrees. At the turn of the year, however, a full-fledged warm air clamp awaits us.
What will the weather be like on New Year's Eve?
At first it will be mostly cloudy or overcast and the sometimes heavy rain will gradually recede to the north. In addition, storms and hurricanes continue to threaten on the coast and in the mountains. In the lowlands and inland, the wind is also sometimes stormy and brings peaks in the record range of around 20 degrees from the southwest. It is still the coolest directly at the lake at 10 degrees.
Is there still snow anywhere?
In the high altitudes of the Alps. Otherwise, even the mountains - away from snow-covered slopes - are basically free of snow.
A snow-free turn of the year - what are the prospects?
In the north it will remain cloudy, partly wet and very windy to stormy. No good prospects for the New Year's fireworks. Meanwhile, it will be cloudy in the middle, but mostly dry. The south can even catch a glimpse of the starry sky and the waxing moon.
At what values?
The whole thing with record values even at midnight. The weather computers show 15 to 18 degrees in places. And even the cooling is very limited until New Year's morning. Sometimes it is not cooler than 12 to 14 degrees.
And on Sunday?
The record-warm air is still at the start with peaks of up to 19 degrees. It is still changeable to rainy in the north and north-west. Otherwise it stays dry more often and in the south even friendly to sunny in some areas.
What does the weather trend do afterwards?
The next weather week will be at least less scalding with a more normal 7 to 15 degrees. The weather distribution remains the same for the time being: the north-west half windy and mixed, the south and south-east nicer and dry.
Does winter get a chance again?
The weather computers evaluate this differently. All in all, however, the more wintry options in the calculations increase towards the end of the first third of January.
What forecasts do the long-term predictions show?
The experimental trends of the American weather service NOAA are still clearly too warm. Currently with a positive total deviation of 2 to 3 degrees! The European forecasts see it somewhat differently. According to this, January 2023 is only a little too warm and also offers the possibility of a more sustained onset of winter in the second half of the month. In this respect, there is excitement and until then we can definitely save on heating costs and protect the wallet.