Things are still going great for the Greens: actually a junior partner in the traffic light coalition, the party is now in a much better position with voters than the SPD, the chancellor's party. In times of crisis, what has grown most is trust in their political competence.
Voter favor is going downhill for the Union. According to the current RTL/ntv trend barometer, the CDU and CSU lost two percentage points compared to the previous week and, at 26 percent, are only just ahead of the Greens, who increased by one percentage point and now have 24 percent of the votes. It is followed by the SPD of Federal Chancellor Olaf Scholz, which also gained slightly ( 1), but is still only the third strongest party with 20 percent.
The remaining parties remain on the values of the previous week: the FDP comes to 8 percent, the AfD to 9 and the left remains with 4 percent below the 5 percent hurdle. The other parties together receive 9 percent.
When comparing the current values with the results of the 2021 federal election, the SPD remains the big loser with losses of 5.7 percentage points. The FDP also lost significantly (-3.5), while the AfD still had to cope with moderate losses of 1.3 percentage points. After 4.9 percent in the election, the Left maneuvered itself even deeper into the valley: it lost another 0.9 percentage points.
The big winners, on the other hand, are the Greens, who gained almost 10 percentage points from 14.8 percent in the federal election. And the Union can also improve by almost 2 percentage points. It is gratifying that the proportion of non-voters has fallen to 22 percent since the election (-1.4).
In the Chancellor question, Olaf Scholz managed to make up some ground again. If the chancellor were elected directly, Scholz would get 42 percent (3) of the votes and opposition leader Friedrich Merz would get 19 percent (-1). Even among the supporters of the Union, only just under half (48 percent) can still be enthusiastic about a Chancellor Merz. In contrast, Scholz can at least be sure of the approval of a clear majority of SPD supporters (82 percent).
When it comes to the political competence of the parties, the Greens remain ahead of the SPD and Union. When asked who is best able to deal with the problems in Germany, 21 percent of those surveyed named the Greens. Only 9 percent believe in the political competence of the Union, the SPD as the governing party also only has 11 percent. More than half of those surveyed (51 percent) do not trust any party to be able to solve the current problems.
The respondents are more pessimistic than ever before about the country's economic future. An uncertain situation in the wake of the Ukraine war - with high energy prices and galloping inflation - is causing more and more people to create problems. According to the survey, only 9 percent of those surveyed believe that the economic situation will improve again in the coming years. 76 percent expect things to get worse. Only 14 percent believe that everything will remain as it is.
The data was collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of RTL Germany from June 21 to 27, 2022. Database: 2500 respondents. Statistical error tolerance: /- 2.5 percentage points.
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