The ranking for the Sunday question remains unchanged: the opposition Union would receive the most votes ahead of the Greens and the SPD. However, the CDU and CSU lose easily, the Social Democrats can catch their breath. Meanwhile, Olaf Scholz is gaining ground on the Chancellor question.
According to the RTL/ntv trend barometer, the Union parties are losing 2 percentage points in approval, but would remain the strongest force in the Bundestag according to the Sunday question. The Greens lose 1 point. Meanwhile, the FDP, AfD and the other parties each gain 1 percentage point. Nothing changes for the SPD after slipping below 20 percent in the previous week.
If there were a federal election now, according to the Forsa figures, the CDU/CSU would currently be 27 percent, 4 percentage points ahead of the Greens (23 percent) and 8 percentage points ahead of the SPD, which remains at 19 percent. The FDP could expect 8 percent of the vote, the AfD 10 percent and the left 4 percent. The proportion of non-voters and undecided is currently 20 percent and thus below the proportion of non-voters in the federal election (23.4 percent).
If they could elect the Federal Chancellor directly, 41 percent of all eligible voters (plus 2 percentage points) would currently choose Olaf Scholz and an unchanged 20 percent for Friedrich Merz. 86 percent of SPD supporters would choose Scholz, while 50 percent of CDU/CSU supporters would still choose Merz.
After their election successes, Daniel Günther from Schleswig-Holstein and Hendrik Wüst from North Rhine-Westphalia are also being discussed as potential candidates for Chancellor of the Union. Those eligible to vote throughout the republic consider both to be similarly suitable as the CDU chairman Friedrich Merz. Only the Bavarian Prime Minister Markus Söder surpassed Merz, Günther and Wüst.
Of the supporters of the Union as a whole, significantly more Söder (38 percent) than Merz (23 percent) consider the Union’s next most suitable candidate for chancellor. In the CDU, 24 percent consider Merz and 34 percent Söder to be the better candidate for chancellor.
The competence values of the parties have changed only slightly compared to the previous week: 22 percent of all eligible voters (minus 1 percentage point) currently trust the Greens, 11 percent each of the CDU/CSU (minus 1 percentage point) and the SPD, unchanged 2 percent of the FDP and 3 percent (minus 1 percentage point) attributed political competence to the other parties. 51 percent currently do not trust any party to solve the problems in the country. 13 percent of Germans are currently assuming an improvement and 70 percent a deterioration in the economic situation in Germany. 15 percent do not expect any change in the economic situation.
The data on the trends were collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of RTL Germany from May 31 to June 3, 2022. Database: 2002 respondents. Statistical error tolerance: /- 2.5 percentage points. The data on the candidate for Chancellor of the Union was collected by Forsa on June 2-3. Database: 1001 respondents. Statistical error tolerance: /- 3 percentage points.
More information about ForsaForsa - surveys commissioned by RTL Germany
