The SPD is gradually approaching poll values from the darkest days again. Meanwhile, the CDU and CSU are expanding their leadership, but still have the Greens breathing down their necks. The chancellor of many interviewees comes from their ranks.
While many people in the country are worried about the future, support for the ruling SPD continues to decline. In the RTL/ntv trend barometer, the party falls to its lowest level in a year at 18 percent. The Social Democrats are getting worryingly close to those values of between 13 and 16 percent, at which the party languished for a long time and was confronted with a historical loss of importance. On the other hand, when she last received so little encouragement, she won the federal election six weeks later.
The SPD must worry above all about the distance to the Union and the Greens. The CDU and CSU are now 27 percent, 9 percentage points ahead of the SPD, closely followed by the Greens with 24 percent. While the Greens have stagnated at this comparatively high level for the fifth week, the Union has even gained one percentage point. The FDP is also happy with 7 percent more than one percentage point compared to the previous week. The AfD remains at 10 percent, the left at 5 percent. 9 percent of respondents prefer one of the other parties.
The general mood is still gloomy: 78 percent of those surveyed expect that the economic situation in Germany will deteriorate in the coming years.
In a direct comparison between Chancellor Olaf Scholz, CDU leader Friedrich Merz and Federal Minister of Economics Robert Habeck, 31 percent prefer the Green politician Habeck as head of government. 23 percent would choose Scholz and 18 for Merz. At 74 percent, Habeck's support among supporters of the Greens is still significantly greater than that of Olaf Scholz among SPD supporters (61 percent) and that of Friedrich Merz among supporters of the Union (45 percent). After all, 19 percent of Union supporters and 22 percent of SPD supporters would rather have Habeck as chancellor.
Forsa surveyed 2,504 people between July 26 and August 1, 2022 for data on party preference, chancellor question and economic outlook. The error tolerance is 2.5 percentage points.
More information about Forsa here.
Forsa surveys commissioned by RTL Germany.
