The macronie candidates were largely in the lead in Sunday's vote of French expatriates on Sunday June 5, with Manuel Valls being the only exception. Manuel Valls was eliminated in round one, and overtaken by Nupes, the left-wing alliance that performed well.
"I take note of (...) Dissent and division have sown chaos, I cannot ignore the score and the fact my candidacy failed to convince", tweeted the ex-Prime Minister, before official results were published by Ministry of Foreign Affairs. This was in reference to Stephane Vojetta (outgoing deputy and dissident candidate), who came 2nd.
"It is upto me lucidly, to draw the consequences", wrote he before calling for the blocking of Renaud Le Berre in the second round. Renaud was the first candidate in the Nupes constituency, which comprises approximately 120,000 voters and includes Spain, Portugal and Monaco.
Nupes was able to place its candidates in the top two constituencies for French nationals abroad. It also managed to place second almost everywhere except in the 8th constituency, which included French citizens living in eight Mediterranean countries, including Israel and Italy. Meyer Habib, incumbent candidate for the UDI came in first place.
Roland Lescure was the outgoing deputy to macronie in the 1st constituency. Florence Roger is close behind him.
The 6th (Switzerland) saw the removal of Joachim Son-Forget who was elected in 2017 to represent the Republic on the move. He was at the centre of numerous controversies and broke with his party. Voters overwhelmingly voted for Marc Ferracci, an economist who is close to President Emmanuel Macron.
On Saturday, the Polynesians voted and placed first the candidates in the presidential majority's first constituency (Nicole Bouteau (41.9%) and second constituency (Tepuaraurii Teriitahi (33.2%)). The outgoing Moetai Brotherson who sat alongside the Communists in Assembly came out on top in the third constituency (34.2%), two percentage points ahead of the Macronist candidate.
Abstention, which was expected to be at an unprecedented level in the first round of legislative election (52 or 53% according the polls, against 51.3% in 2017), will play a crucial role in the ballots of the 12 and the 19. According to provisional statistics, French expatriates seem to have mobilized more in 2017 than 2017, when the participation rate was 19.1%.
Specialists believe that the current majority could be benefited by the abstention of young people or the working classes. This is because it relies on a older, more affluent electorate, rather than the RN and Nupes. However, macronists still have concerns. Frederic Dabi (Ifop), a pollster, said Sunday night on LCI that "there are hypotheses" which could give relative majorities to the camp of Emmanuel Macron. This is below the absolute majority 289 seats.
According to Ifop, it would be ahead the Nupes (LFI. EELV. PS. PC.) around Jean-Luc Melenchon, which could reach between 170 to 205 seats. It would also surpass LR (35 to 55 deputies, RN (20-50 seats), and LR (35–55 deputies, according to Ifop. Frederic Dabi said that the scenario of an absolute majority in the Nupes was "for the moment excluded".
Jean-Luc Melenchon believes in a victory that would force Emmanuel Macron into becoming Prime Minister. Even though the president recalled that he still had the right to choose his head government even in cohabitation. On Sunday, the rebellious man remarked on LCI that "it's not worth paying for an institution crisis on top of it."
Marine Le Pen, a Marine Le Pen campaigner in Pas-de-Calais wanted to mobilize her troops. She assured them that there was still time to stop Macron from having all the power and to "defeat a cursed voting system which keeps a system in place that is worm-eaten".
The finalist for the presidency (41.5% in round two) was a secretive figure. Marine Le Pen raised her goals and asked her supporters to give her "100 to 150 deputies". The far-right leader called for party president Jordan Bardella to "go vote" in a Sunday morning video message. He had called "the patriots" the day before to urge them to "not disperse themselves", during a fratricidal battle with Eric Zemmour's (Reconquest! ).
Robert Menard, the mayor of Beziers, was also a former friend and crushed the latter's efforts. He said that he was "angry, not half", with Robert Menard who, according to BFMTV, "caricatured" their ideas in a "mad furious campaign which "plays Melenchon’s game today."
