All surveys point in the same direction: the big loser in the elections of 10 November will be a Citizens . The survey of GAD3 published yesterday by ABC, the first that was published, including the candidacy of Íñigo Errejón, it projected a fall to the party led by Albert Rivera of up to 25 seats, from the 57 who won the April 28 to 32 would be if the election were held today. In other words, the Cs would get the 15,86% of the votes to 11.3.
similar Figures was also offered yesterday the barometer of the CIS, although in this case the field work was performed at the beginning of the month, before the effect Errejón. According to the agency headed by José Félix Tezanos,Cs would fall to fourth place, with support declining from 12.9 percent.
This survey also predicts that Vox will fall 2,76 points .
But, despite these poor prospects, and despite the insistence of the leader of the PP, Paul Married, you go together to the elections under the umbrella of Spain Sum, Cs just seems to open to a repeat formula −PP, Cs, and a third party that is not a Vox− in Navarre, where they were presented next to UPN with the initials of Navarre Sum. The withering dismissal of the leader of Cs in the Basque Country by flirting with the PP is one more step in this direction.Fragmentation
Rivera acts against the polls, against the wishes of the electorate conservative and against the feel of their own voters . The survey of GAD3 prepared for ABCrevela that 45 per cent of the voters, "oranges" look it is a coalition with PP and Vox, compared to 34 percent who disapprove. The support for Spain Sum, with Vox included, grows among the voters of the PPhasta 61 per cent. The current supply of Married Rivera does not include Abascal. Among the voters of Vox support to the coalition grows to 71 percent. In block progressive, around 80 per cent of the voters of the PSOE, we Can, and More Country repudiate this coalition.
According to a projection made by ABC, if in April PP, Cs, and Vox had consulted together, they would have avoided the effects of the fragmentation of the vote and could have added another 176 seats , just the threshold which is situated in the absolute majority. To be separated, the 43,23 percent they earned the three games more UPN resulted in 149 deputies. The union between PP and Cs, without the help of Vox, would have led to 140 seats in place of the 125 that got going every one of the two on your own.
This is Married wants to avoid in November, elections that Pedro Sanchez faces with the intention of broadening his victory. According to the CIS yesterday, in which Tezanos returned to change the estimation model to hide the fact that the acting president has lost tug from the negotiations of the investiture failed, Sanchez would get the vote from 34.2 percent. PP and we Can also improve their performance in relation to April. This poll, done before they confirm the repeat election and that Errejón came into play, attributed to block conservative 37.6 percent, five points less than the 28-A.Updated Date: 27 September 2019, 11:03