According to an IfopFiducial poll on LCI, Friday, June 10, two days before the election, the New Popular Ecological and Social Union, Nupes, is half a point ahead the presidential majority, with 26.5% voting intentions in Sunday's first round of legislative elections.
The projection of seats gives the macronists an advantage, with 270 to305 seats, the absolute majority being 289 seats. Nupes, the left coalition (LFI. PS. EELV. PCF) is credited with 180-210 seats. Les Republicains (LR) has 40-55 seats and the National Rally (15 to 35 seats).
This survey was conducted between June 8-9 and found that the presidential majority coalition Together! The presidential majority coalition Together, which combines La Republique en Marche with Horizons, Agir and La Republique en Marche, receives 26% of the voting intentions in round one. This is one point more than the previous study, which was conducted from June 3 through 6. Comparing to the same study, Nupes gains 0.5 point by rising to 26.5%. LR loses 1 point and gets 10%, while the RN loses 2 and gets 19%.
A survey by Elabe for BFMTV, "l'Express", and published Friday shows that the presidential coalition would gain 2.5 points to 27% and 1.5 points to Nupes to 26.5% respectively. Marine Le Pen's RN would receive 19.5%, which is 2.5 points less than LR's 11%.
Voting intentions are not a prediction of the outcome of a vote. These indicate the power balance and dynamics at the time of the survey. The Ifop Fiducial survey for LCI took place on June 8-9, using an online questionnaire that was self-administered. It included a representative sample of 1,831 French voters registered on the electoral rolls. The margin of error lies between 1.0 to 2.2%.